Alpha Briefing
$NBIS Reports Thursday With Options Pricing a 17% Swing: The $3 Billion Run Rate Chasing a $7 to $9 Billion Year-End Promise, $40 Billion of Contracts From Two Customers, and the Zones From $111 to $180
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$NBIS Reports Thursday With Options Pricing a 17% Swing: The $3 Billion Run Rate Chasing a $7 to $9 Billion Year-End Promise, $40 Billion of Contracts From Two Customers, and the Zones From $111 to $180

Nebius fell 12% in a week, bounced 15% premarket on CoreWeave's beat, and reports Q3 Thursday morning with options pricing a 17% move. The ATM dilution math, the $8 billion half-year capex bill, the two-customer concentration, and scenario zones from $111 to $180.
9 min read
$FLY Hit an All-Time Low 24 Hours Before Landing a $1.3 Billion Engine Deal: What the Headline Number Is Really Made Of, the Burn Clock It Resets, and the Zones From $14.44 to $26.86 Into Tuesday's Earnings
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$FLY Hit an All-Time Low 24 Hours Before Landing a $1.3 Billion Engine Deal: What the Headline Number Is Really Made Of, the Burn Clock It Resets, and the Zones From $14.44 to $26.86 Into Tuesday's Earnings

Firefly Aerospace fell to $14.44 Wednesday, then jumped 36.8% Friday on a $1.3B AST SpaceMobile engine deal and a NASA CLPS 2 seat, with Q3 earnings due Tuesday after the close. The $400M cash vs locked-stock split, the $106M quarterly burn it lands on, and scenario zones from $14.44 to $26.86.
8 min read
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